Development and Validation of a Two-Step Predictive Risk Stratification Model for Coronavirus Disease 2019 In-hospital Mortality: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study. (Record no. 12572)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 03492nam a22004097a 4500
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fixed length control field 230626s20222022 xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 2296-858X
024 ## - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 10.3389/fmed.2022.827261 [doi]
024 ## - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code PMC9021426 [pmc]
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency Ovid MEDLINE(R)
099 ## - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
PMID 35463024
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Development and Validation of a Two-Step Predictive Risk Stratification Model for Coronavirus Disease 2019 In-hospital Mortality: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study.
251 ## - Source
Source Frontiers in Medicine. 9:827261, 2022.
252 ## - Abbreviated Source
Abbreviated source Front Med (Lausanne). 9:827261, 2022.
253 ## - Journal Name
Journal name Frontiers in medicine
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Year 2022
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Manufacturer FY2022
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Publication date 2022
265 ## - SOURCE FOR ACQUISITION/SUBSCRIPTION ADDRESS [OBSOLETE]
Publication status epublish
265 ## - SOURCE FOR ACQUISITION/SUBSCRIPTION ADDRESS [OBSOLETE]
Medline status PubMed-not-MEDLINE
266 ## - Date added to catalog
Date added to catalog 2023-06-26
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Abstract Conclusions: The two-step scoring system used widely available, point-of-care data for triage of COVID-19 patients and is a potentially time- and cost-saving tool in practice. Copyright © 2022 Li, Kong, Ebell, Martinez, Cai, Lennon, Tarn, Mainous, Zgierska, Barrett, Tuan, Maloy, Goyal, Krist, Gal, Sung, Li, Jin and Shen.
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Abstract Design: Multicenter retrospective observational cohort study.
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Abstract Measurements and Main Results: We included 1,673 participants from Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) as the derivation cohort. Risk factors for in-hospital death were identified using a multivariable logistic model with variable selection procedures after repeated missing data imputation. A two-step risk score was developed to identify patients at lower, moderate, and higher mortality risk. The first step selected increasing age, more than one pre-existing comorbidities, heart rate >100 beats/min, respiratory rate >=30 breaths/min, and SpO2 <93% into the predictive model. Besides age and SpO2, the second step used blood urea nitrogen, absolute neutrophil count, C-reactive protein, platelet count, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as predictors. C-statistics reflected very good discrimination with internal validation at VCU (0.83, 95% CI 0.79-0.88) and external validation at the other three health systems (range, 0.79-0.85). A one-step model was also derived for comparison. Overall, the two-step risk score had better performance than the one-step score.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Abstract Objectives: An accurate prognostic score to predict mortality for adults with COVID-19 infection is needed to understand who would benefit most from hospitalizations and more intensive support and care. We aimed to develop and validate a two-step score system for patient triage, and to identify patients at a relatively low level of mortality risk using easy-to-collect individual information.
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Abstract Patients: Coronavirus Disease 2019-confirmed and hospitalized adult patients.
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Abstract Setting: Four health centers from Virginia Commonwealth University, Georgetown University, the University of Florida, and the University of California, Los Angeles.
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Language note English
651 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME
Institution MedStar Washington Hospital Center
656 ## - INDEX TERM--OCCUPATION
Department Emergency Medicine
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Medline publication type Journal Article
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Local Authors Goyal, Munish
Institution Code MWHC
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Local Authors Maloy, Kevin
Institution Code MWHC
790 ## - Authors
All authors Li Y, Kong Y, Ebell MH, Martinez L, Cai X, Lennon RP, Tarn DM, Mainous AG, Zgierska AE, Barrett B, Tuan WJ, Maloy K, Goyal M, Krist AH, Gal TS, Sung MH, Li C, Jin Y, Shen Y
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
DOI <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2022.827261">https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2022.827261</a>
Public note https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2022.827261
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Journal Article
Item type description Article

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